Dear Friends and Dear Friends, forwarding for your consideration the contribution prepared by his friend Massimo Gargiulo that I find useful and interesting.
Best regards.
Pasquale Salvatore
The ten years that will change Milan
The growing number of foreigners, especially from the last 20 years, have chosen or will choose to reside in our city is destined to radically change the face of political and social in Milan the next ten years.
Faced with a resident population in 1990 was 1,432,184 persons, Milan had "only" 39,729 foreigners, or 2.8% of the inhabitants of the city.
In late 2009, according to figures provided recently by the City of Industry Statistics, the official residents in the city fell to 1,306,561 and 199,372 of them well, 15.3% are officially foreign residents.
If we consider that the aging index (which indicates the ratio of over 65 years and children under 14) of Italians living in the city came in 2009 to 238.5, while that of foreigners is only 12.1 (both it is true that more than 1 out of 5 minor children residing in the city is a stranger: of these about 95% among those aged 0-5 and about 65% of those aged 6-13 years was born in Italy), easy to understand demographic changes such as these, together with the continuation of immigration flows, has already led and will lead to even more in coming years for the population of Milan.
The consequence of this is that, according to the Industry Statistics of the City, the official residents in Milan are designed on the basis of a hypothesis media, to fall in 2020 to 1,292,220 and 314,539 of them well, that is 1 to 4, will be foreign (to go up to just under 1 over 3 in 2028).
In 2015, the year of Expo, the aging index of Italians living in Milan will increase to 258 (for up to 361.9 in 2028), while that of foreigners will increase only to 13.2 (to reach 42.2 in 2028). This will cause the index of social care elderly (which shows the relationship between the 65s and the population aged 15-64 years) of Italians living in Milan, currently at 46, will rise to 50.4 in 2015 (for arrive in 2028 at 54.1), while the same index, which is currently 2.7 for foreigners, will arrive in 2015 to 3.3 (rising to 10.6 in 2028).
Similar phenomena are found in many other Italian and European cities and everywhere you look with great difficulty and with many difficulties, made more difficult by the economic crisis which affects our continent, to give solution to the economic and social problems so that a high proportion of foreign fee on integration, civil rights, school, home, work, health and social services.
in Milan and throughout the metropolitan area of \u200b\u200bMilan this phenomenon is particularly relevant, but the search for solutions on how to manage it does not seem high on the agenda of political debate and party programs on the eve of the election campaign. Yet the new levels of competitiveness and economic well-being of Milan, present and future, will inevitably pass on the ability of the municipality of Milan and the metropolitan area to take responsibility for problems of their people, mostly citizens or future citizens and foreigners.
Massimo Gargiulo
Chairman Burson-Marsteller
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